2017 Financial Resolutions

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MOST RECENT BLOG POSTS:


Bounce Coming But Pullback Still Secure
While the short-term pullback continues, stocks are seesawing back and forth and are “supposed” to bounce here. For the past two trading days, the bears were unable to follow through from Thursday’s decline and fought the bulls to a draw. Unless we are looking at something bigger on the downside than I expect, we should […]

As Expected, Pullback Continues
All month I have been writing about a short-term pullback for stocks. Nothing huge. Just your garden variety 3-5% bout of weakness which could overshoot. This coming from someone who has been bullish all year on stocks. I won’t reanalyze what I have already written several times, but here are a few reasons. The Dow […]

Market Like 1987 Again?
With Thursday being a downside rout that closed near the low for the day, stocks normally see two way action during the next morning before the opportunity for a stronger move comes after lunch. When markets are in the throes of a decline and I would hesitate to call this a decline of significance at […]

Energy Collapse. An Opportunity?
Stocks continue to bounce after the tensions with North Korea have quieted for now. As I have written about before, I think the stock market used North Korea as its catalyst or excuse to pullback. The underpinnings were a little weak and a little decline was coming regardless. My thoughts remain the same that the […]

Big Day for the Bulls But No All Clear Yet
Stocks bounced very strongly on Monday led by banks, semis and transports which just happen to be three out of four of my key sectors. That’s one for the bulls. The beaten down Russell 2000 index of small caps led the major indices higher and that’s another good sign for the bulls as the Dow […]

Stocks to Bounce But Pullback Not Over
In part II of the piece I started last Friday, I turn to the market evidence supporting the 3-5% pullback I have been discussing all month. While tensions with North Korea have quieted down over the weekend and global stocks are sharply higher, I do not believe the pullback is over. Now, if the five […]

North Korea was the Excuse
While North Korea is now front and center in the mainstream news as well as the financial news and the financial markets are now fixated on North Korea, the stock market was already positioned to retreat for the past few weeks. It was just looking for a catalyst. I started writing about the likelihood of […]

Short-Term Pullback in Motion
Over the past week or so, I have gone from a trading range view with perhaps a slightly upward bias to a mild pullback of 3-5%. That’s where I stand today. Stocks sold off very hard on a relative basis from noon to the close on Tuesday as the saber rattling between the U.S. and […]

Economy Good. Markets Less So.
On Friday, the Department of Labor reported that the economy created 209,000 new jobs, which was 26,000 better than expected. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3%, the lowest level in 16 years. This is just another statistic that supports my thesis that economy is in better shape than the masses realize. You wouldn’t conclude this […]

Growing Concerns
As the title suggests, I am more worried now than I have been in a while, however, it needs to be taken in context. I really haven’t worried at all lately and I absolutely do not believe the bull market is over or close to being over. I don’t even believe the stock market is […]


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