The 2019 Fearless Forecast from Paul Schatz

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3 in a Row for the Bears as ISM and Trump Give Aid
The bears are on a three day winning streak with Tuesday scoring the most points and the chorus growing louder that this is anything but a harmless little pullback. On Monday, the media chalked up the decline to the ISM survey which was disappointingly weak. If that was truly the case, why did bonds also […]

Lots of Action Across the Board Stay Alert
Welcome back from Thanksgiving! I hope you had a safe, fun and meaningful holiday!! For me, I was very thankful to be alive after my mid-May mishap. As usual, I will have the various details of the Schatz Thanksgiving feast in an upcoming Street$marts. With 11 full months in the books, December trading starts today. […]

Bullish Week Coming. Healthcare Leading
Stocks are set to open higher to begin Thanksgiving week where we only have 3 1/2 days of trading. This week is typically a good one for the bulls. Last week, the stock market treaded water and the bears definitely had a chance to make some noise. I doubt they will have the same opportunity […]

Bulls Biding Their Time
Stocks continue to trade very quietly lately. It seems like every day there is a narrow range from high to low. And that’s okay. Although I have had short-term concerns for the past few weeks, the bulls have done an amazing job of thwarting each and every little attack by the bears. As I have […]

Bulls Still in Charge, But
As stocks headed into November the Dow Industrials, S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 were all at or very, very close to all-time highs. I know this comes as no surprise to my readers as I have written about my upside projections over and over and over. Dow 28,000 was next, a target I began discussing […]

Target Hit
On Friday, the Dow hit yet another one of our upside projections. This continues the longest stretch of successful upside targets since I started forecasting them 20 years ago. When the bear market ended in 2009 I remember being on CNBC with Larry Kudlow in early March thinking that stocks could bounce 1000 points before […]

Lots of Opps But Market Not Ready For Another Leg Just Yet
Today is options expiration where moves used to be wide and volatile. However, these days expiration has actually become a fairly tame affair. As I wrote about the “haves” and “have nots” in the indices the other day, I think today will shape up to be fairly quiet with an obvious bias to the upside […]

Bulls Recharging. Bears Turning into Bulls
It’s good to be home after a great but quick trip to Dallas. Uncharacteristically, the markets were fairly quiet on Monday and Tuesday while I was away. Usually, my travels bring about all kinds of fireworks which force me to change plans and stress about being available and not missing an opportunity. I hope that […]

The Neutral Theme Continues
Greetings from Dallas where I am attending NAAIM’s annual Outlook conference with the real thought leaders in the industry. Although I have been involved with NAAIM for almost 30 years, I still get excited and look forward to seeing old friends, meeting new ones and hearing from and participating with true cutting edge thinkers who […]

Pause to Refresh or Mild Pullback Underway
Earlier this week, I turned neutral for the short-term in the stock market. That’s all it is. Neutral when I look out a few days to a few weeks. I am not calling for any decline of significance and we may not even see a noticeable pullback. Stocks could go sideways to work off what […]

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