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Date: January 22, 2014

Goldman Sachs and the “Curious” Biotech Downgrade

I like to take things at face value. It’s makes life so much easier that way! But every once in a while, and probably more so in this business, some things just make you go “hmmmmmmmmm…”.  Two weeks ago, Goldman Sachs issued a very public call on the biotech sector. If it was almost anyone else, you would shrug your shoulders and move on. However, with Goldman, I sometimes take the “curious” stance, rightly or wrongly so.

Goldman downgraded biotech as it digested a series of all-time highs. While it wouldn’t have been the place I would have downgraded a group, it’s certainly their prerogative. Curiously, that day saw biotechs’ lowest close of 2014 and a breakdown from the pattern which presumably caused some stops to be hit and more selling. But the very next day, the sector began a 9 day, 10% nearly vertical rally.

So the question that begs to be asked is, did Goldman downgrade to force stock from weak hands to strong hands before the big rally? OR, did Goldman just make an embarrassing bad call in the short-term?

ibb

I will let you decide…

Author:

Paul Schatz, President, Heritage Capital