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Date: December 9, 2016

Bulls Continue to Trample Ahead

On Wednesday, I gave a higher level overview of how the stock market is behaving along with the leadership and some key indicators. Nothing has really changed. Almost everything is severely overbought, but they can still become even more overbought. Pullbacks through year-end should be shallow and no more than 2-3%, lasting just a few days.

Another piece of good news for the longevity of the bull market came this week. The NYSE Advance/Decline Line scored an all-time high. That effectively insulates the bull market from ending for at least several months if not longer. Broad participation is there and weakness has to be bought until proven otherwise.

nyad

Additionally, high yield (junk) bonds are a whisker away from new highs as well. As you know, they are one of my favorite canaries in the coal mine. Bull markets typically don’t end with junk trading so well. That adds further insulation for the bull to live on well into 2017 if not longer.

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Without any pullback, those looking for investment should find laggards, instruments that haven’t kept pace with the advance. Healthcare, biotech, staples, REITs, utilities and preferred stocks are a few to research.

Have a great weekend! My nose smells snow in Vermont and it’s time to makes some turns…

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Author:

Paul Schatz, President, Heritage Capital