The Santa Claus Rally ends today. Funny how the media is obsessed with it in December, but doesn’t say boo when the trend comes close to ending. They’re too busy waxing about the “other” 490 stocks right now. Anyway, the S&P 500 needs to close above 6910. If it doesn’t, Santa will have failed to call and below average returns during Q1 or the first half of the year may ensue. More on this later in the week. Today is […]
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Most New Year’s resolutions fade by February, but for high-net-worth families, the right resolutions can influence decades of wealth, legacy, and retirement security. Generic “save more, spend less” advice often falls short in meeting the needs of affluent households, particularly when multiple properties, business interests, charitable goals, and substantial retirement accounts are involved. This guide from Heritage Capital outlines three powerful HNW-level resolutions that will help you refocus your finances, lifestyle, and retirement planning in Connecticut for a more confident […]
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I hope everyone who celebrated enjoyed the holidays! My family did our Christmas Eve dinner at the West Dover Inn and then our traditional Christmas night dinner with friends in Vermont as we have done for many, many years. Although many Jews partake in Chinese food and a movie, that option hasn’t been available in the Mount Snow area since the 1990s, much to our dismay. Lunch on the mountain with my family never has a dull moment and Christmas […]
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The start of a new year is an ideal time for a financial check-up. As your life, investments, taxes, and estate change over time, a simple “set it and forget it” approach isn’t enough when real wealth is on the line. Instead of simply filing taxes and moving on, this is the moment to audit your entire financial life so your retirement planning in Connecticut stays protected today and positioned for the years ahead. This article from Heritage Capital LLC […]
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The home stretch is here. I keep hearing that it’s been an unusual or odd year. I don’t really think so. We had the 10%+ correction by July 4th that I forecast. The recovery was way faster than I thought. And everything else just went on its merry way. I will have so much more to say about the year as well as my 2026 Fearless Forecast in the coming weeks. The famed and popular Santa Claus Rally (SCR) begins […]
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Today is the single largest options expiration in history. While that sounds important, the truth of the matter is that March, June, September and December are always huge expirations with December usually even larger because it is year-end. And as markets grow, so does the use of derivatives, like options. So, the numbers are historic, but not something I am going to worry about since all of these options go bye bye today. Over the last few days, the government […]
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As I discussed this week, the stock market often sees a very mild seasonal soft patch or headwind in mid-December that ends plus or minus five days around options expiration which is this Friday. I was looking for at least one more move lower to increase exposure and that came over the last two days. As always, you can see what we bought and sold at the bottom. The S&P 500 is below and it is setting up for a […]
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Friday was one ugly day, especially in the popular and sexy AI space which got hit very hard. It is amazing that these one day plunges are so often accompanied by calls of a 10% correction or a bear market or worse. Then stocks recover and the bears hibernate again. Rinse and repeat. I don’t like the fact that a number of key indices got right back to the old highs and failed. And until we see new highs across […]
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Fed cuts. Check. Stocks rally post-2pm. Check. New closing highs in the major indices. Mixed. The Dow Industrials hit new highs. The S&P 500 hit a new closing high but not a new intra-day high. The S&P 400 hit a new closing high but not a fresh intra-day high. The Russell 2000 scored fresh highs on both counts. The NASDAQ 100 failed so far which is an area of concern. The sexy, loved and over-owned AI stocks are being sold […]
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Today is FOMC statement day. Spoiler alert. Jay Powell & Company will be cutting interest rates by 1/4%. There shouldn’t even be a debate from all of the pundits who think the odds have swung so wildly over the past month. They haven’t and only people not paying attention think the Fed doesn’t cut or that inflation is a problem. It’s not. The stock market model for the day is stronger than usual, calling for plus or minus 0.50% until […]
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