Date: April 17, 2017

Getting Closer to a Bottom

Stocks  begin the week on their heels after a relatively ugly day on Thursday. The pullback and selling are not over just yet, but the market is certainly closer to the end of the decline than the beginning. With Thursday’s price action closing at the low of the day and the March bottom only a few points away, I would think that the major indices are heading for a quick trip below the March lows before the bulls put up a real stand. That should occur before the end of the month.

While the stock market was closed on Friday, economic data was still released. Inflation came in a lot lower than expected and there were some downward revisions on previous months. That is exactly what Janet Yellen and the Fed heads do not want to see as they raise interest rates and float trial balloons about beginning to reduce the Fed’s massive $4.5 trillion balance sheet. Interestingly, reaction looks to be muted to start the day. Remember, it’s not what the news as much as it is how markets react.

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Paul Schatz, President, Heritage Capital