More on the Post Crash Pattern… Both Paths are Bullish
The only thing missing from a “perfect” pattern is for the S&P 500 to breach the August lows for up to a few days. I hesitate to use the word “perfect” because it rarely plays out exactly as I expect, but it certainly did so in 2011. Additionally, in both 1987 and 1989 which I partially dismissed, the final lows did not breach the crash lows before the big rally began.
As you can see from the chart above, I have two colored scenarios to the right of where the current price action ends. The light blue is the more immediately short-term bullish scenario and has the final bottom as being in and the rally beginning last week. The orange line is less short-term bullish as it has one more decline into the final low over the coming few weeks before blasting off to the upside.
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