Watching the Bounce
Thursday’s shellacking in the stock market was a bit unusual given how close in time stocks were to all time highs. As I mentioned in Street$marts, my screen was a complete sea of red except for the instruments that go up when stocks go down. As I have over said over and over and over, based on history, the bull market remains alive.
In the short-term, it looks like the best case for the bulls would be a few days of bounce to the upside followed by another decline to revisit this morning’s low or briefly exceed it this month. Then another run to new highs could ensure.
I would become a bit more concerned if stocks began to unravel this afternoon or rallied mildly today followed by an ugly day on Monday. In any case, it’s important to watch which sectors bounce the most or withstand selling pressure the best. So far, I am not heartened to see utilities and staples leading today.
On the bond front, it’s time for treasury bonds to make a stand. They have pulled back for a few days and they need to stabilize here. High yield (junk) bonds have been decimated lately, wiping out the entire gain since January. This is a serious canary in the coal mine if it’s not rectified this year.
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