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Category: Paul’s Insights

Fed Day is Here

Today is Fed day with split announcements.  At 12:30pm, the official announcment and statement come out and then Ben Bernanke will hold his press conference at 2:15pm. The Fed is not going to move rates.  They will likely downgrade their view of the economy. So far in 2012, every single Fed statement day has been a big day for the bulls.  The market is anticipating some extension of stimulus or outright quantitative easing (creating money to buy securities, likely in […]   Read More
Date: June 20, 2012

CNBC’s Closing Bell at 3:10pm June 15

I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Maria and Bill at 3:10pm today discussing Sunday’s election in Greece and the potential for a major market reaction next week. Here are some quick, off the cuff thoughts: 1 – Markets seem very comfortable rallying into the event, which makes me a bit uncomfortable. I would much prefer to see weakness and worry ahead of a geopolitical event to wash out the weak handed holders and then reverse after […]   Read More

Who Do You Trust?

The latest Street$marts has just been posted! http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120605.pdf     Read More

The Week Ahead

With earnings season over and the monthly jobs report behind us, markets will likely focus on Europe and the outcome of ObamaCare before the Supreme Court which is due out this month on a Monday.  Heading in to this week, the bulls have the upper hand after putting in at least a trading low last Monday.  You can read the details in Street$marts, which is also posted http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120605.pdf.  With the Dow at 12,550, we could see 12,750 – 13,000 this […]   Read More

Can You Trust the Experts?

One story related by Peter L. Bernstein in “Against the Gods: the remarkable story of risk” was the experience of Kenneth Joseph Arrow, an American economist and joint winner of the 1972 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics. Some officers had been assigned the task of forecasting weather a month ahead, but Arrow and his statisticians found that their long-range forecasts were no better than numbers pulled out of a hat. The forecasters agreed and asked their superiors to be relieved […]   Read More

Shareholder Suit Plagues Facebook IPO

http://nhregister.com/articles/2012/05/23/news/doc4fbdaeef4f252625135824.txt?viewmode=fullstory   Read More
Date: June 5, 2012

Stocks Hit with the Ugly Stick

Stocks got hit with the ugly stick on Friday after continued worries in Europe led to overnight weakness and then the market got thumped by the horrid jobs report.  Gold and treasury bonds were the only bright spots.  Did gold just see “THE” low or “a” low?  We will tackle this in an upcoming Street$marts. Stocks should be in the early stages of the bottoming process.  It’s too soon to offer how long it lasts, days or weeks.  But the market […]   Read More

The Facebook Fiasco… A Guide of How NOT to IPO

Here is the latest Street$marts with a detailed article on the bust that is Facebook. http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120525.pdf   Read More

CNBC’s Closing Bell TODAY at 4:10pm

I am going to be on with Maria and Bill at 4:10pm today discussing ethics versus business on Wall Street in the face of Facebook’s epic bust.  Now that should make for interesting conversation!   Read More
Date: May 25, 2012

Facebook, Facebook, Facebook

Is the world so boring a place that unless we can beat a story stock to death, there is nothing else to report?  Have we forgotten about the need to create jobs in the private sector?  First it was Apple; then it was JP Morgan; and now it’s Facebook.  Thankfully, the IPO is over, Mark Zuckerberg is now worth $19B and the markets have created thousands of new paper millionaires.  It also means that in a few weeks, the buzz […]   Read More