Santa Claus Rally
If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall. That’s an old stock market adage indicating that if we do not see the traditional Santa Claus rally over the final five trading days of the year, the potential for a bear market or major decline increases in the New Year. The final five days clocks at the close on the 21st, coinciding with the end of the world according to the Mayans. There is also […]
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Date: December 19, 2012
Bulls Turn Tide
After Friday’s reversal from early losses on the “news” regarding the Fiscal Cliff, the bulls put on an ole fashioned stampede today with more than 90% of the volume on the upside and almost 90% of all stocks closing higher. The market opened up and ran that way straight to the close, turning the short-term trend in favor of the bulls. For the time being, the bulls have the ball and given the Thanksgiving holiday, they are supposed to keep […]
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Date: November 20, 2012
Obama Victory, Market Sell Off
Congratulations to President Barack Obama and all of the politicians who were elected by the American people last night. In the end, although my candidate did not win, Democracy was and is always the big winner. As you know, I hardly ever use the word “hope” when discussing investing, but in this case, I do hope we somehow see congress and the president at least genuinely attempt to work together on a bipartisan basis. I don’t know a single person who […]
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Date: November 7, 2012
Like Watching Paint Dry
Unlike the summers of 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007 and 2006, the summer of 2012 has been very, very quiet. Volatility is at an historically low level. Volatility contraction leads to expansion and vice-versa. At some point, we are going to see a spike in volatility and that will shock the system. Later this week, Ben Bernanke will make his annual speech from the Fed’s retreat in Jackson Hole WY on Friday at 10:00am. While everyone will be on the […]
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Date: September 4, 2012
The Bulls Powering to New 2012 Highs
New Street$marts is out chock full of tidbits with Paul Ryan, the Fed, ECB and stocks on their way to new 2012 highs! http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120816.pdf
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Date: August 20, 2012
Bulls Giving it the College Try
Following up from the Street$marts issue I published today (link to follow here on Friday), the bulls are stepping up here on the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100, closing the day within striking distance of new highs for 2012. I expect that to occur over the coming days. Once that is achieved, I do not anticipate a blow off to the upside. Rather, I think the stock market will be within a few percent of peaking. Flies in the ointment […]
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Date: August 16, 2012
Quietly Strong Selling Wave
Stocks have quietly seen a fairly strong selling wave over the past eight days. Coincidentally (or not), that has been ever since the European Union announced their latest rescue attempt from European Stability Mechanism. After that one huge rally day, stocks have not behaved well and after today (Thursday), they have given back the entire rally. From my seat, the stock market is at an interesting juncture here. I wouldn’t say “critical”, but the bulls need to step up here […]
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Date: July 12, 2012
3 Indicators That Can Tell You the Market’s Next Move
On Monday, I was in the city spending some time with my friends at Yahoo Finance. As always, I thank them for their hospitality and Jeff Macke for the engaging conversation. http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/3-indicators-tell-market-next-move-115923205.html With the volume and velocity of information out there, trying to get a read on the stock market is like attempting to get a sip of water from a firehose. Thankfully Paul Schatz of Heritage Capital has three ways to check the health of the market and durability […]
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Date: July 5, 2012
Summer Rally, Pre-Election Sell-Off
http://www.newsmax.com/StreetTalk/Heritage-Capital-stock-rally/2012/06/27/id/443591 The stock market will experience a summer rally, followed by a sell-off in the fall right before the election, Paul Schatz, chief investment officer of Heritage Capital LLC, told Yahoo. Schatz said the first half of the year had a few unique twists, but it has been fairly typical for election-year market indices. “It’s been an interesting first half,” he said. “We were vertical for a while and then we gave almost all of it back and now we’re […]
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Date: June 29, 2012
It’s All about Greece
Here is the clip from my segment on CNBC’s Closing Bell on June 15. As is usually the case, my view is definitely the contrarian view and Bill certainly challenged me! Take a look… http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000096597&play=1
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Date: June 27, 2012
