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Category: Paul’s Insights

Refuting the Bears

Bears will point to overly bullish sentiment readings and anemic volume as reasons to be wary of “The Big One” or bull market ending. They are absolutely correct regarding the sentiment surveys, but this story has been seen before. And sentiment is almost always much frothier than the high positive readings of today. Sometimes, a correction unfolds while other times the market enters a trading range. And in outlier cases, every once in a long while, stocks begin to melt […]   Read More
Date: June 13, 2014

Russell Trying to Join Party

Over the past few months I have often warned about the caution signs being given by the major stock market indices not all being in sync together. With 32 months passing since the last 10%+ correction, the bearish camp is hoping that age alone will befall this market. History suggests otherwise. Historically, major index non confirmation or divergence is typically a sign of a market about to correct or in the most extreme cases, the end of a bull market. […]   Read More
Date: June 12, 2014

Early Equals Wrong

The bull market of 2009-2014 has to be one of the most disavowed, unloved bull markets of all time. Each and every time it sees even routine weakness, bears come out of the woodwork with calls of 1929, 1987 and 2007 all over again. And then stocks stop declining and continue on their merry way higher. This is exactly how long-term bull markets survive, thrive and work higher. I can’t tell you how many very smart (and some not so […]   Read More
Date: June 11, 2014

What’s Up with That?!?!

Last week, there were at least three announcements that made me scratch my head and think “are you serious?” Apple spent $3 billion to buy Beats, a headphone maker which sells inferior products as my experts tell me. Good job Beats! Steve Ballmer paid $2 billion for the embattled L.A. Clippers. My best friend whose group recently purchased the Milwaukee Bucks for a record $550 million also bid on the Clippers and valued the franchise at well under $1 billion. […]   Read More
Date: June 10, 2014

Draghi Delivers… Bears Lie in Wait

In one of the better telegraphed moves out of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi & Company gave the market what it had been expecting, using some fairly heavy ammunition to provide stimulus to Europe’s struggling economy. He may not have gone to Hank Paulson’s bazooka just yet, but they are getting close! Thursday was a solid win for the bulls as the Dow, S&P 500, S&P 400 and Nasdaq 100 all scored new highs for 2014 with the lagging […]   Read More
Date: June 6, 2014

Bears Get Another Opportunity

On the Bullish Side It has been a relentless 10 day assault by the bulls with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 scoring new highs while the S&P 400 and Russell 2000 are fighting to lead. Europe remains near new highs and emerging markets have had a very strong run, much to my delight! The New York Stock Exchange Advance/Decline line continues to see all time highs which has very positive intermediate-term implications for stocks as it is an […]   Read More
Date: June 4, 2014

Squawk Box on Monday @ 6:30 am EDT

I am really excited and looking forward to being with Joe, Becky and Andrew on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Monday the 2nd @ 6:30am discussing the stock market’s latest surge on negative news. It should be a spirited discussion!   Read More
Date: June 1, 2014

Bulls Hangin’ Tough

With the bearish seasonal headwinds this week, the bulls have done a nice job not giving up any ground so far. In fact, the bulls powered ahead on Tuesday and held firm on Wednesday. It certainly looks like the Dow and Nasdaq 100 want to join the S&P 500 at new highs this week. Although the S&P 400 and Russell 2000 have been laggards, they have certainly led the parade over the past week. The real news so far this […]   Read More
Date: May 28, 2014

Bear Trap and Dow 17,000

A week ago today, the major indices saw a solid red day that had the pundits talking correction and investors running for cover. One day later, however, the bulls closed the door on the bears, trapping them in some bad selling decisions. From there, the bulls had control right into the Memorial Day holiday and that should spill over early this week. The Dow has already hit an all time high and the S&P 500 should be soon to follow. […]   Read More
Date: May 27, 2014

Speaking Out of Both Sides of my Mouth

It was such a pleasure and privilege to spend an hour on Fox Business’ Opening Bell with Liz Claman, one of my all time favorite anchors. She was hysterical off camera and we had a lot of fun with the various segments which I will publish here over the next week. The whole Fox Business crew was incredibly nice as they always are. I can’t wait to do it again, hopefully next month. The first topic we covered was Market […]   Read More
Date: May 22, 2014