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Category: Paul’s Insights

Facebook, Facebook, Facebook

Is the world so boring a place that unless we can beat a story stock to death, there is nothing else to report?  Have we forgotten about the need to create jobs in the private sector?  First it was Apple; then it was JP Morgan; and now it’s Facebook.  Thankfully, the IPO is over, Mark Zuckerberg is now worth $19B and the markets have created thousands of new paper millionaires.  It also means that in a few weeks, the buzz […]   Read More

STILL Targeting JP Morgan?

It’s really amazing how the media latches on to a story.  Not long ago, Apple was all the rage. Positive story after positive story.  As you know, I took the very unpopular other side of that equation publicly.  And they trashed me all over the place.  Funny how that chatter has really quieted down! Now we have JP Morgan in the very unenviable position of being at the other end of that spectrum.  Negative story after negative story.  The media just […]   Read More
Date: May 21, 2012

JP Morgan, The Next Recession and The Wave of New Jobs

I did an interview with FOX Business on Friday where I offered my comments on the overblown mess at JP Morgan, which is the story of the day/week.  I also opined that the next recession in the US will likely be seen in 2013 or 2014.  I was somewhat surpised that the anchor thought that was so outrageous.  Except for the 1990s, we typically see one or two recessions per decade with one being more severe than the other when […]   Read More
Date: May 15, 2012

Is JP Morgan as Dumb as the Rest?

 As you will read below, I don’t think this is the beginning of another leg in the financial crisis, nor do I think we will see more of this from JPM or other banks.  When you trade and invest, you don’t always win and sometimes the losses can be large, especially if people make some pretty stupid decisions en masse. This is Jamie Dimon’s first real black eye since taking the helm at JPM years ago. My takeaways are that Jamie […]   Read More
Date: May 14, 2012

FOX Business

I am going to be on FOX Business this Friday, May 11, at 1:20pm discussing some short-term paths for the stock market as well as some interesting long-term scenarios.   Read More
Date: May 10, 2012

Once Again, It’s About Europe

Socialist candidate Francois Hollande won the election in France, throwing the Eurozone into a tizzy as Germany no longer has a fiscally conservative partner in France.  This is going to get very interesting as we have Germany favoring austerity and a more hard line fiscal path, while France will look to curb the expense cuts, raise taxes and possibly increase spending.  Markets cratered overnight, especially in Asia, but by the time the US opened, losses were more muted.  And by […]   Read More
Date: May 7, 2012

The Most Unloved Investment

Last Wednesday, I participated in an interesting discussion on CNBC’s Closing Bell regarding what I consider to be the most “unloved” investment.  Most continue to scratch their heads as to why they haven’t cratered with the trillions of the dollars our Fed has created over the past few years.  But there are bigger stories at play.  For years, most have thought that inflation would really kick into high gear, but that certainly hasn’t happened.  You may have seen it at […]   Read More

Stocks at Inflection Point

Here is the article based on my interview with CNBC’s European Closing Bell from May 1. http://www.cnbc.com/id/47243367 The 2012 bull market still has further to run, according to Paul Schatz, president of Heritage Capital, an independent investment banking and advisory firm. Instead of a major selloff, Schatz believes that the equity markets will only peak later on in the year, or early in 2013. But he’s undecided about whether this will incorporate a “sell in May and go away” mantra. […]   Read More

CNBC’s Closing Bell

I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Maria & Bill at 3:10pm today discussing (defending) why I am the only treasury bond bull left on earth!   Read More
Date: May 1, 2012

Local Bank News in Connecticut

Long time readers know how critical I was of how the whole New Alliance Bank merger with First Niagra went.  While it was a good deal at the time for shareholders, their CEO and the bank said one thing over and over, yet their actions did the opposite. http://www.ctpost.com/news/article/Former-NewAlliance-CEO-taking-over-at-BNC-3492708.php New Canaan-based BNC Financial Inc., a $500 million institution, has hired Peyton R. Patterson, former NewAlliance chief executive officer, to lead an expansion that one day could include a public offering. BNC […]   Read More
Date: April 30, 2012