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Tag: stock market prediction

All Eyes and Ears on the Global Central Banks

Here is the link from Friday’s segment: http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000108518&play=1  Nothing has changed regarding the outlook for stocks.  I think we are in a generally benign period for equities that has been following the typical presidential election year pattern of a Q1 rally, a springtime low and summer rally to a peak.  If that continues to hold true, we should see another good bottom in September or October and then rally into year-end.  I am sure the market will throw some doubt […]   Read More
Date: August 13, 2012

A Face for Radio

Here is the link from my FOX Business segment on Monday.  You will notice that I was on the phone rather than in front of the camera.  I guess they finally realized that I had a better face for radio! http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/1773818720001/ipo-surge-a-healthy-sign-for-markets   Read More

FOX Business & Employment Report Update

I am going to be on FOX Business’ Markets Now close to 1pm est on Monday, hopefully discussing some of the items below. After a string of weak but positive employment reports, Friday’s data were “better than expected”, but still not strong enough to keep pace with population growth.  And when you dive into the details of the report, according to John Williams of Shadow Stats, you see the normal “seasonal adjustments” accounted for a significant number of jobs created.  What […]   Read More

Keeping an Eye on Those Canaries

The latest Street$marts is out. http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120801.pdf   Read More

Market Getting Tired

Here is Monday’s segment we did on CNBC which remains our position today. http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000103231&play=1 Stocks have been on a nice little run this week with a dearth of news out of Europe and generally better than expected earnings from bellwether companies.  Keep in mind that the earnings “beats” are after Wall Street cut estimates over the past month and the general sentiment regarding earnings had become so negative that it should not be a surprise to see them bettered.  This […]   Read More

Are Stocks Dead Money?

Here is the latest Street$marts: http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120712.pdf  Besides offering an essentially sideways forecast, which has been our thesis for a month, we also throw in another unusual economic indicator along with an interesting story from someone on the younger side!   Read More
Date: July 17, 2012

CNBC’s Closing Bell TODAY at 3pm est

I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Bill and Maria at 3:00pm est today discussing the market’s path over the rest of the summer and how “quiet” it has become as earnings season really cranks up this week.  Almost every article, tv segment and conversation about earnings has been so negative that it seems like much has been priced into the stock market.  Could a small upside surprise lie ahead?  This lack of significant volatility is typical […]   Read More
Date: July 16, 2012

Quietly Strong Selling Wave

Stocks have quietly seen a fairly strong selling wave over the past eight days.  Coincidentally (or not), that has been ever since the European Union announced their latest rescue attempt from European Stability Mechanism.  After that one huge rally day, stocks have not behaved well and after today (Thursday), they have given back the entire rally. From my seat, the stock market is at an interesting juncture here.  I wouldn’t say “critical”, but the bulls need to step up here […]   Read More
Date: July 12, 2012

Stocks Slide on Tepid Jobs Growth Number

On Friday’s CNBC segment, I spoke about the range bound market with the potential for a fall swoon before the election.  But in any market, there are always opportunities and this time is no different. http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000101361&play=1 So far this week, stocks have not behaved well, but it’s far from a rout and the trading range continues. On Wednesday, we get a peak at the minutes from the Fed meeting and folks will take any scrap of comments that leads to […]   Read More
Date: July 11, 2012

FOX Business TODAY at 1pm

I am going to be on FOX Business’ Markets Now today at 1pm est discussing the markets’ reaction to the weak employment data along with our forecast for the Dow to year-end.  Stocks lost roughly 1% on Friday, but you would think the market collapsed from the media’s portrayal of the day.  Listening to Mitt Romney, it sounds like we lost jobs and are heading into the abyss.  President Obama on the other hand gave a campaign speech in Ohio […]   Read More
Date: July 9, 2012