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Category: Paul’s Insights

Just a Few Words Please

Here is the segment I did on Squawk on the Street the other day with Rich Bernstein. Rich does good work but geez, can I get a word in? http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000178049&play=1 Stocks rallied for the second day in a row and while it seems like investors have forgotten about the Fed’s tapering, I don’t believe the decline is over just yet. Another 100 points in the Dow and it will be time to lighten up again.   Read More
Date: June 27, 2013

The Times They are a Changin’… BEWARE

The latest Street$marts has been posted. http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20130623.pdf Heading to Fox Business shortly. Should be an “interesting” discussion given the volatility and fear in the martkets.   Read More
Date: June 25, 2013

CNBC and Fox Business This Week

I am going to be on CNBC’s Squawk on the Street on June 24 at 10am and Fox Business’ Markets Now on June 25 at 1pm. Going out on a limb that the bond market just bottomed and is about to begin a meaningful rally. Bond proxies and like stock sectors to follow. Telecom, utilities, etc. Volatility should be here for a while but that’s no reason to go hide in a bunker!   Read More
Date: June 24, 2013

And Now China

Financial markets have been hit with the double whammy. First, Bernanke described the Fed’s plan for tapering asset purchases later this year and next and overnight, China reported weaker economic data and some trouble in their banking system. The markets responded with much selling on the heels of yesterday’s sell off, taking the Dow under 15,000. The next downside target for the major stock market indices is just below their respective May lows. After that, markets are probably looking at a […]   Read More
Date: June 20, 2013

Bernanke’s Successor

First President Obama says that Ben Bernanke has stayed on longer than he planned. Then he slaps him upside the head by saying that he has stayed longer than he was supposed. And when given the opportunity to walk that comment back, the president not only declines but also doesn’t give Bernanke any real ringing endorsement. All very interesting to say the least! Federal Reserve Vice Chair, Janet Yellen, is the odds on favorite to succeed Bernanke next year and […]   Read More
Date: June 20, 2013

Pre Fed Chatter

As expected, here was the usual spirited discussion I had on CNBC’s Squawk Box before the Fed meeting. I firmly believe that when the Fed reduces the amount of money printing, that is a form of stimulus reduction and interest rates increase. With the Fed Funds rate at essentially 0%, Bernanke used money printing as another tool to effectively have negative rates. http://www.cnbc.com/id/100823745   Read More
Date: June 19, 2013

OUCH!!!

Tough week for Ben Bernanke gets worse as he throws ice cold water on the stock and bond markets, hinting that the $85B per month in money printing will begin to be reduced later this year and eventually ended in 2014 with rates rising in 2015. As much as I love Big Ben, I have less confidence in the Fed’s long-term forecast than my local weatherman’s five day forecast. Bernanke can jawbone all he wants, but I for one will be […]   Read More
Date: June 19, 2013

It’s All About Big Ben

The stock market rally that began last Thursday continued into the “all important” Fed meeting on Wednesday. It seems like every Fed announcement is now hailed as the most important one ever and this one is certainly no exception. To keep everyone on their toes, Bernanke & Company changed the announcement time to 2:00pm with the press conference beginning at 2:30pm. There has been a strong tendency for the market to close higher almost 70% of the time on announcement […]   Read More
Date: June 19, 2013

Squawk Box TOMORROW at 6:30am

I am going to be on CNBC’s Squawk Box tomorrow, June 18, at 6:30am discussing the upcoming Fed meeting and the market impact their announcement could have.   Read More
Date: June 17, 2013

Who Turned the Lights Out?

After a nice opening by the bulls on Wednesday, the bears came out en mass to print a fairly ugly day across the board except for gold and the stocks. It looks like stocks are heading back to revisit the lows from last week which should happen in the next few days. The stock market is now as oversold as it has been at any time since the November bottom. Failure to respond positively over the coming week would be […]   Read More
Date: June 14, 2013