Twitter & How to Play Hot IPOs
Last week, Twitter began trading in one of most highly anticipated IPOs in years, very similar to Facebook. You can view my very negative initial comments here. http://investfortomorrowblog.com/archives/826. “Hot” IPOs like Twitter and Facebook are usually very emotional and as I have discussed over and over, emotion in investing can have a very detrimental impact on your portfolio! I went back and found similar IPOs to show you what transpired over the coming few months. The results should not be surprising. Facebook […]
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Date: November 11, 2013
Thank You
A very heartfelt THANK YOU to all of the brave men and women who have served our country and protected our freedom!
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Date: November 11, 2013
Big Day for the Stock Market… Twitter, ECB, GDP
The media and masses are all keenly focused on Twitter’s overblown IPO. Too bad you can’t trade it to the short side. Already, some knucklehead paid north of $50. Do people ever learn? While I do not think we will ever see the tech mania like the Dotcom bubble again in my lifetime, we are certainly seeing froth in the social media space and that’s not a good thing! The real news of the day that is now only a […]
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Date: November 7, 2013
Canaries Still Singing
With many all time highs seen in October, it is a good time to review the canaries in the coal mine for signs of trouble. Remember, canaries are only valuable at major market peaks and bottoms. For the vast majority of the time in between, they will be of little value. We review all of the major stock market indices and sectors along with other key indicators of overall market health. At major market turning points, we will often see […]
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Date: November 1, 2013
Fed Day
The Fed concludes their two day meeting today with an announcement at 2pm and no press conference with Ben Bernanke. Markets are widely expecting absolutely nothing! No taper, certainly no increase and absolutely not even the hint of a rate hike anytime in the next few years. There is a very bullish tendency for stocks to rally on statement day and we should expect nothing different unless today begins the long awaited pullback. I have written about stocks being tired […]
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Date: October 30, 2013
Rolling Over or Revving Up?
Last week, I wrote about how stocks were looking a bit tired and in need of a rest. Nothing has changed since that piece. The lagging blue chip indices like the Dow and S&P 500 reached higher while the leadership indices like the S&P 400 Mid Cap, Russell 2000 Small Cap and Nasdaq 100 have moved sideways. This is all healthy, routine and constructive behavior that should not lead to anything more than a trading pullback worst case scenario. Market […]
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Date: October 28, 2013
Stocks Growing Tired
With the major indices going vertical since October 9, I am starting to see some signs of tiring. “Tiring” is a lot different than forecasting a full fledged correction or even a deep pullback. It just means that the odds favor either some sideways action to help restart the engine or some sort of mild price decline to shake out the Johnny Come Latelys. During this rally, we saw the S&P 500, S&P 400 and Russell 2000 hit all time […]
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Date: October 23, 2013
Idiocy in DC
I don’t even want to begin to count the hours wasted in DC on the shutdown and debt ceiling let alone what it did to innocent Americans, our economy and our focus as a nation. Yet our elected officials are celebrating like they won the World Series?!?! What an embarrassing mess. White House staffers were quoted as saying they were “winning”. Speaker Boehner said they “fought the good fight”. I am glad our elected officials in DC treated this debacle […]
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Date: October 17, 2013
Another Crossroad for Gold
I haven’t written about gold in a while, probably because it’s been so darn frustrating. And if you ask my thoughts on the metal, they will vary greatly depending on the time horizon. Long, long-term, I believe the secular bull market that began in 2001 is alive, but gold is curently in a cyclical bear market that began in mid 2011 and could last until we elect a new president in 2016 or it could end in short order. It’s […]
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Date: October 16, 2013
Boehner Listened… Kinda, Sorta
John Boehner didn’t call me (he should have) and I doubt he reads my comments (he should), but at least the republicans figured out that their tactics were not working. They may not have unilaterally raised the debt ceiling long-term, but if the reports are accurate, they are going to offer a short-term raise in exchange for negotiations with the democrats on a variety of fiscal issues. As you would imagine, the markets responded favorably although Europe led the way as […]
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Date: October 10, 2013
