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Category: Paul’s Insights

Media Day

I am heading to New York to first visit my friends at Yahoo Finance and their Breakout show with Jeff Macke. By week’s end, they should have 2-3 segments created on their website from our discussion. After that, it’s on to Fox Business to spend 30 minutes with Maria Bartiromo on her new show Opening Bell. I am scheduled to be on between 10am and 10:30am discussing a wide variety of topics. Although I hate the pre-dawn wake up call, […]   Read More
Date: April 16, 2014

Stocks Remain in Pullback Mode

With the major indices down 4-8% I am once again getting questions whether the bull market has ended and a multi-year decline is unfolding. I don’t think so.The New York Stock Exchange Cumulative Advance/Decline line recently scored an all time high. When bull markets end, we typically see this indicator peak months, quarters or even years before the Dow and S&P 500. The same can be said of the high yield bond sector. Bear markets are usually associated with restrictive […]   Read More
Date: April 14, 2014

Market stems sell-off but volatility is here to stay

Thanks for the quote Jeff Benjamin! Click here for article   Market stems sell-off but volatility is here to stay Advisers agree investors need to stay calm and avoid knee-jerk selling By Jeff Benjamin Apr 8, 2014 @ 11:39 am (Updated 5:39 pm) EST Print E-mail Reprints 13Shares Bloomberg News The short and sudden streak of market volatility took a breather on Tuesday as traders took advantage of pullbacks by some of the higher-beta stocks. But financial advisers and market […]   Read More
Date: April 14, 2014

U-G-L-Y Day on Thursday

The stock market had a very rough day on Thursday with all of the major indices breaking down below all short-term support levels for the chartists out there. There is no other way to characterize than UGLY. Keep in mind, however, that so far, all we have seen are 3-6% declines. It feels much worse because we saw two large down days over the past week, the likes of which we haven’t seen all year, including the January pullback. On […]   Read More
Date: April 11, 2014

Bull market intact after “good flat” first quarter, but changes afoot

Thanks for the quote Jeff Benjamin. http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20140331/FREE/140339990# In a three-month stretch of extreme winter weather, unexpected geopolitical unrest, a Federal Reserve chairmanship transition, and a continuing sluggish economy, investors should be happy with a 1% first-quarter gain by the S&P 500. In essence, even without a lot of good news during the quarter, the financial markets proved resilient enough to keep general volatility low and fend off anything that looked like a threat to the bull market. “The first quarter […]   Read More
Date: April 8, 2014

It’s All Negative

It was an interesting reading weekend. Everything I read was negative about the stock market, which is very unusual. Bulls became bears and bears were beating their chests. Not a single piece was positive. After last Friday’s market drubbing, the bears would normally come out, but so would the “buy the dip” bulls. And yesterday, it only got worse. When I saw newsletter writer Dennis Gartman say he got “scared” out of stocks, I began to believe a low was […]   Read More
Date: April 8, 2014

CNBC’s Squawk Box Monday at 6:30 AM

I am excited to be with Joe, Becky and Andrew on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Monday the 31st at 6:30 AM. We will be discussing the markets, the wrong way Fed and the latest comments from Putin regarding the Ukraine. There should be a new issue of Street$marts out later on Monday. Enjoy the rest of your weekend. I am heading to my 6 year old’s very loud and chaotic birthday party. Too bad they don’t serve adult beverages with […]   Read More
Date: March 30, 2014

The Story that Never Ends

Almost two weeks ago, I published this piece about PIMCO and Bill Gross. Since then, many news outlets continued reporting about the major problems inside PIMCO and the challenges Bill Gross faces. Thanks for the various quotes. PIMCO’s Got Bigger Problems than the Tabloid Drama We’ve Been Reading about Lately Some Still Wary on Gross’ Shakeup at PIMCO More Troubles for PIMCO in Wake of El-Erian Exit Advisers Ratchet up Scrutiny of PIMCO     Read More
Date: March 28, 2014

Routine & Healthy Consolidation in Play

Last Friday, we saw the S&P 500 tick at all time highs for a few seconds. That’s anything but unexpected and certainly not newsworthy. What was “different this time” was that it was the only major index to score new highs before they all reversed sharply to the downside. That made calling for an overall market pullback fairly easy. Over the past few days, the high flying, momentum driven tech stocks, like Google Netflix and Amazon have come under strong […]   Read More
Date: March 26, 2014

Dr. Copper May Be Terminally Ill, But…

What should be big news isn’t getting that much play and that’s the total collapse in copper prices, mostly due to China’s weakening economy. Copper has long been called Dr. Copper or the commodity with a PhD in economics because it was a good forecasting tool. Since late 2010, that all changed and it’s likely because of China’s influence on that market. Copper has completely collapsed on a short-term basis, semi-collapsed on an intermediate-term basis and is on the verge […]   Read More
Date: March 23, 2014