Even the Bears are Bulls… for Now
The stock market is tired, again. That seems like a phrase I have used often this year without much follow through. There have been many times in 2013 when the market had risen sharply and then looked just plain weary. Instead of correcting or even pulling back smartly, the stock market behaved like it does when it’s in a powerful bull trend; it’s consolidated sideways within a few percent of its high and then blasted off again. “Is this time […]
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Date: December 2, 2013
Fox Business, Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Oil
I am going to be on Fox Business’ Markets Now at 1:05pm today (Wednesday) discussing the stock market’s recent assault on Dow 16,000, a target I gave several times here and in the media. Now that the market is there, what’s next? I can tell you that from my perspective, risk has increased substantially, but by no means should the bull market be over. Stocks are overdue for at least a pullback (2-8%), but probably more on the downside next […]
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Date: November 20, 2013
Another Crossroad for Gold
I haven’t written about gold in a while, probably because it’s been so darn frustrating. And if you ask my thoughts on the metal, they will vary greatly depending on the time horizon. Long, long-term, I believe the secular bull market that began in 2001 is alive, but gold is curently in a cyclical bear market that began in mid 2011 and could last until we elect a new president in 2016 or it could end in short order. It’s […]
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Date: October 16, 2013
Gold’s Bearish Pattern Trying to Change
When we last left off with the gold market (and the chart below), I offered that “Unless the metal quickly regains the $1350 level, we are most likely looking at further selling and even more record setting negative sentiment before a sustainable rally can begin.” Gold continued its collapse from the time I hit the send button at $1292 all the way down to $1179 a week later. From $1179, it rallied all the way back to $1303 this […]
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Date: July 26, 2013
Nightly Business Report TONIGHT
I am going to be on The Nightly Business Report tonight (Monday July 1st). In my neck of the woods, it’s at 6:30pm on public television, CPTV or channel 13. You can find it on your dial here, http://nbr.com/. In all likelihood we will be discussing what I see down the road as we begin the new quarter and second half of the year with earnings season beginning next week. Stocks are beginning the quarter with the bulls in charge. Will […]
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Date: July 1, 2013
Gold Skeptics Have Peaked but Gold Prices Haven’t
The other day I spent some time with my friends at Yahoo Finance recording several segments. Here is the one I did on why I have become more bullish on gold recently after watching the metal fall from $1900 to $1320. http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/gold-skeptics-peaked-gold-prices-haven-t-paul-155320270.html
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Date: May 28, 2013
What would Thomas Jefferson Say to the Architects?
The latest Street$marts is out, “What would Thomas Jefferson Say to the Architects?” http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120625.pdf Topics in this issue include a little known, but important economic indicator, the latest pullback in stocks and where gold is headed.
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Date: June 26, 2012
Once Again, It’s About Europe
Socialist candidate Francois Hollande won the election in France, throwing the Eurozone into a tizzy as Germany no longer has a fiscally conservative partner in France. This is going to get very interesting as we have Germany favoring austerity and a more hard line fiscal path, while France will look to curb the expense cuts, raise taxes and possibly increase spending. Markets cratered overnight, especially in Asia, but by the time the US opened, losses were more muted. And by […]
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Date: May 7, 2012
Gold to $2000 and Beyond
Here is the second video I did with the folks from Yahoo! at their beautiful new studio in the city. Anytime there are bold statements on gold, people come out of the woodwork to comment. And I would be surprised if they aren’t at least 100 comments by the time you read this. One of the great myths is that gold goes up when there is inflation. I think the 1990s is the perfect example of why that isn’t true. […]
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Date: April 19, 2012
