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Category: Paul’s Insights

CNBC’s Closing Bell TODAY at 3pm est

I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Bill and Maria at 3:00pm est today discussing the market’s path over the rest of the summer and how “quiet” it has become as earnings season really cranks up this week.  Almost every article, tv segment and conversation about earnings has been so negative that it seems like much has been priced into the stock market.  Could a small upside surprise lie ahead?  This lack of significant volatility is typical […]   Read More
Date: July 16, 2012

Quietly Strong Selling Wave

Stocks have quietly seen a fairly strong selling wave over the past eight days.  Coincidentally (or not), that has been ever since the European Union announced their latest rescue attempt from European Stability Mechanism.  After that one huge rally day, stocks have not behaved well and after today (Thursday), they have given back the entire rally. From my seat, the stock market is at an interesting juncture here.  I wouldn’t say “critical”, but the bulls need to step up here […]   Read More
Date: July 12, 2012

Markets Pricing in Weak Earnings

Earlier this week, I did an interview with Fox Business about the possible increase in taxes when the Bush/Obama tax cuts expire in December.  Later in the segment, we discussed earnings season, which began this week with Alcoa, and how just one quarter off record earnings, investors are becoming so pessimistic. While it certainly feels like a negative year in the markets, the major indices remain in the black for 2012.  In fact, the year is very closely following the typical […]   Read More
Date: July 11, 2012

Stocks Slide on Tepid Jobs Growth Number

On Friday’s CNBC segment, I spoke about the range bound market with the potential for a fall swoon before the election.  But in any market, there are always opportunities and this time is no different. http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000101361&play=1 So far this week, stocks have not behaved well, but it’s far from a rout and the trading range continues. On Wednesday, we get a peak at the minutes from the Fed meeting and folks will take any scrap of comments that leads to […]   Read More
Date: July 11, 2012

FOX Business TODAY at 1pm

I am going to be on FOX Business’ Markets Now today at 1pm est discussing the markets’ reaction to the weak employment data along with our forecast for the Dow to year-end.  Stocks lost roughly 1% on Friday, but you would think the market collapsed from the media’s portrayal of the day.  Listening to Mitt Romney, it sounds like we lost jobs and are heading into the abyss.  President Obama on the other hand gave a campaign speech in Ohio […]   Read More
Date: July 9, 2012

CNBC’s Closing Bell at 3:00pm TODAY

I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Bill & Maria today at 3pm discussing the less than positive jobs report as well as the harsh market reaction and the potential response from Bernanke & Co. As soon as I finish wrapping up my quarterly report to clients, I will publish the next Street$marts with some comments on the European Central Bank’s recent action and what the Supreme Court’s ruling on ObamaCare means for the economy and markets. Have […]   Read More
Date: July 6, 2012

3 Indicators That Can Tell You the Market’s Next Move

On Monday, I was in the city spending some time with my friends at Yahoo Finance.  As always, I thank them for their hospitality and Jeff Macke for the engaging conversation. http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/3-indicators-tell-market-next-move-115923205.html With the volume and velocity of information out there, trying to get a read on the stock market is like attempting to get a sip of water from a firehose. Thankfully Paul Schatz of Heritage Capital has three ways to check the health of the market and durability […]   Read More

Summer Rally, Pre-Election Sell-Off

http://www.newsmax.com/StreetTalk/Heritage-Capital-stock-rally/2012/06/27/id/443591 The stock market will experience a summer rally, followed by a sell-off in the fall right before the election, Paul Schatz, chief investment officer of Heritage Capital LLC, told Yahoo. Schatz said the first half of the year had a few unique twists, but it has been fairly typical for election-year market indices. “It’s been an interesting first half,” he said. “We were vertical for a while and then we gave almost all of it back and now we’re […]   Read More
Date: June 29, 2012

It’s All about Greece

Here is the clip from my segment on CNBC’s Closing Bell on June 15.  As is usually the case, my view is definitely the contrarian view and Bill certainly challenged me! Take a look… http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000096597&play=1   Read More

What would Thomas Jefferson Say to the Architects?

The latest Street$marts is out, “What would Thomas Jefferson Say to the Architects?” http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120625.pdf Topics in this issue include a little known, but important economic indicator, the latest pullback in stocks and where gold is headed.   Read More