With the major indices going vertical since October 9, I am starting to see some signs of tiring. “Tiring” is a lot different than forecasting a full fledged correction or even a deep pullback. It just means that the odds favor either some sideways action to help restart the engine or some sort of mild price decline to shake out the Johnny Come Latelys. During this rally, we saw the S&P 500, S&P 400 and Russell 2000 hit all time […]
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Stocks continue to feel the hangover from the post Fed no taper party as well as Larry Summers stepping aside. While the Russell 2000 Index of small caps briefly saw all time highs today, the other major indices remain in pull back mode. This all seems very healthy and routine and I would expect another leg higher in the bull market after this period of weakness ends over the coming 2-7 weeks. In the very short-term, stocks are oversold and are supposed […]
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I will on CNBC’s Closing Bell today, Friday, at 4:00pm discussing the lack of any taper from the Fed, what they see that the masses don’t and where the markets are ahead. Earlier this week in Street$marts (click on link to see) and on my blog, www.investfortomorrowblog.com I spelled out the three scenarios that could result from the Fed meeting. While I did not believe any taper was warranted, the market was expecting a token $10-$15 billion. When Bernanke & Company did nothing, risk […]
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I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell TODAY (Aug 5) at 4pm discussing where the stock market is headed over the coming weeks and into September’s Fed meeting where the “taper” could begin. Over the past few weeks, I visited Fox Business and Yahoo Finance. Regarding the Fed, here were and are my thoughts: http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/fed-meeting-tap-investors-await-bumpy-ride-112711784.html.
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Every month or so, I write an update on the market’s canaries in the coal mine to get a sense where the bull market stands. Nothing has changed on that front in that we having an aging bull market, but one that should live on through the next correction and probably into 2014. As the market builds towards the next meaningful pullback, here are a few things to watch as I briefly discussed on Fox Business. http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/2565939221001/correction-coming/
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I am going to be on CNBC’s Squawk Box tomorrow (Wednesday July 3) at 6:30am discussing Friday’s “much anticipated” jobs report (aren’t they all???) and my outlook for stocks. If you missed last night’s Nightly Business Report, you can find it here. http://nbr.com/2013/07/02/dont-expect-earnings-blowout-or-market-rallies-pro-says/ The only thing I forgot to mention last night when I spoke about high quality corporate bonds and floating rate was that municipal bonds have been hammered as badly as any time since Meredith Whitney’s pathetically awful call towards the end […]
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I am going to be on The Nightly Business Report tonight (Monday July 1st). In my neck of the woods, it’s at 6:30pm on public television, CPTV or channel 13. You can find it on your dial here, http://nbr.com/. In all likelihood we will be discussing what I see down the road as we begin the new quarter and second half of the year with earnings season beginning next week. Stocks are beginning the quarter with the bulls in charge. Will […]
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Here is the segment I did on Squawk on the Street the other day with Rich Bernstein. Rich does good work but geez, can I get a word in? http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000178049&play=1 Stocks rallied for the second day in a row and while it seems like investors have forgotten about the Fed’s tapering, I don’t believe the decline is over just yet. Another 100 points in the Dow and it will be time to lighten up again.
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Financial markets have been hit with the double whammy. First, Bernanke described the Fed’s plan for tapering asset purchases later this year and next and overnight, China reported weaker economic data and some trouble in their banking system. The markets responded with much selling on the heels of yesterday’s sell off, taking the Dow under 15,000. The next downside target for the major stock market indices is just below their respective May lows. After that, markets are probably looking at a […]
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After a nice opening by the bulls on Wednesday, the bears came out en mass to print a fairly ugly day across the board except for gold and the stocks. It looks like stocks are heading back to revisit the lows from last week which should happen in the next few days. The stock market is now as oversold as it has been at any time since the November bottom. Failure to respond positively over the coming week would be […]
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