Russell Trying to Join Party
Over the past few months I have often warned about the caution signs being given by the major stock market indices not all being in sync together. With 32 months passing since the last 10%+ correction, the bearish camp is hoping that age alone will befall this market. History suggests otherwise. Historically, major index non confirmation or divergence is typically a sign of a market about to correct or in the most extreme cases, the end of a bull market. […]
Read More
Date: June 12, 2014
Early Equals Wrong
The bull market of 2009-2014 has to be one of the most disavowed, unloved bull markets of all time. Each and every time it sees even routine weakness, bears come out of the woodwork with calls of 1929, 1987 and 2007 all over again. And then stocks stop declining and continue on their merry way higher. This is exactly how long-term bull markets survive, thrive and work higher. I can’t tell you how many very smart (and some not so […]
Read More
Date: June 11, 2014
What’s Up with That?!?!
Last week, there were at least three announcements that made me scratch my head and think “are you serious?” Apple spent $3 billion to buy Beats, a headphone maker which sells inferior products as my experts tell me. Good job Beats! Steve Ballmer paid $2 billion for the embattled L.A. Clippers. My best friend whose group recently purchased the Milwaukee Bucks for a record $550 million also bid on the Clippers and valued the franchise at well under $1 billion. […]
Read More
Date: June 10, 2014
Draghi Delivers… Bears Lie in Wait
In one of the better telegraphed moves out of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi & Company gave the market what it had been expecting, using some fairly heavy ammunition to provide stimulus to Europe’s struggling economy. He may not have gone to Hank Paulson’s bazooka just yet, but they are getting close! Thursday was a solid win for the bulls as the Dow, S&P 500, S&P 400 and Nasdaq 100 all scored new highs for 2014 with the lagging […]
Read More
Date: June 6, 2014
Bears Get Another Opportunity
On the Bullish Side It has been a relentless 10 day assault by the bulls with the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 scoring new highs while the S&P 400 and Russell 2000 are fighting to lead. Europe remains near new highs and emerging markets have had a very strong run, much to my delight! The New York Stock Exchange Advance/Decline line continues to see all time highs which has very positive intermediate-term implications for stocks as it is an […]
Read More
Date: June 4, 2014
Squawk Box on Monday @ 6:30 am EDT
I am really excited and looking forward to being with Joe, Becky and Andrew on CNBC’s Squawk Box on Monday the 2nd @ 6:30am discussing the stock market’s latest surge on negative news. It should be a spirited discussion!
Read More
Date: June 1, 2014
Bulls Hangin’ Tough
With the bearish seasonal headwinds this week, the bulls have done a nice job not giving up any ground so far. In fact, the bulls powered ahead on Tuesday and held firm on Wednesday. It certainly looks like the Dow and Nasdaq 100 want to join the S&P 500 at new highs this week. Although the S&P 400 and Russell 2000 have been laggards, they have certainly led the parade over the past week. The real news so far this […]
Read More
Date: May 28, 2014
Bear Trap and Dow 17,000
A week ago today, the major indices saw a solid red day that had the pundits talking correction and investors running for cover. One day later, however, the bulls closed the door on the bears, trapping them in some bad selling decisions. From there, the bulls had control right into the Memorial Day holiday and that should spill over early this week. The Dow has already hit an all time high and the S&P 500 should be soon to follow. […]
Read More
Date: May 27, 2014
Speaking Out of Both Sides of my Mouth
It was such a pleasure and privilege to spend an hour on Fox Business’ Opening Bell with Liz Claman, one of my all time favorite anchors. She was hysterical off camera and we had a lot of fun with the various segments which I will publish here over the next week. The whole Fox Business crew was incredibly nice as they always are. I can’t wait to do it again, hopefully next month. The first topic we covered was Market […]
Read More
Date: May 22, 2014
Just Call Me “No One”
FYI, I have the privilege of co-hosting Fox Business’ Opening Bell this Monday from 10:00am – 11:00am. Maria Bartiromo is on vacation so I finally get to meet Liz Claman after being interviewed by her for years and years. I am a HUGE fan! All Time Highs… Bull Market Alive Earlier last week, I wrote an article called All Time Highs on Tap where the Dow and S&P 500 would see all time highs unaccompanied by the other major indices. […]
Read More
Date: May 18, 2014
An Hour on Fox Business’ Opening Bell
I am really excited to join Liz Claman who is subbing for Maria Bartiromo from 10am to 11am on Monday the 19th on Fox Business’ Opening Bell. Having been interviewed by Liz many times during her tenure at CNBC, I can’t wait to meet her and co-host the show for a full hour. She is one smart woman! As I worried about having enough to say, I am often reminded by my family that I don’t know when to shut […]
Read More
Date: May 17, 2014
All Time Highs on Tap
Despite significant warnings from the S&P 400 mid caps, Russell 2000 small caps, Nasdaq 100 and a host of sectors, the Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 are poised to see all time highs this week. The headlines will look nice and investors may cheer, but serious damage remains beneath the surface over the intermediate-term. Yes, we remain long various indices and sectors, but we will likely lighten up or hedge on a quick spurt higher. If we do see […]
Read More
Date: May 12, 2014
Key Sectors Sending Up Bearish Warning Signs
Last week, in Major Indices Issue Warning, I discussed how the strength in the Dow and S&P 500 were masking weakness in the other major indices and how a warning sign was given. Today, I go a step further and dive into the key sectors of the stock market. We begin this section with the S&P 400, Russell 2000 and NASDAQ 100 all showing relative weakness, a clear red flag. Below is the first key stock market sector and also […]
Read More
Date: May 9, 2014
All-Time Highs in Sight
This is it. Put up or shut up time for the Dow and S&P 500. Both are positioned constructively to power to all-time highs over the next week. And I think they will. With sentiment mixed, it’s hard to believe that there will be any mass celebration of new highs, especially with the index problems I discussed here. In fact, I think there is very little chance that the three other major indices will confirm the Dow and S&P 500 […]
Read More
Date: May 6, 2014
Economy “Booming”
288,000 NEW jobs created in April. Unemployment rate plummets to “only” 6.3%. The U.S. economy is back! Does it feel like that to you or your friends? My thesis since the crisis began has been that post financial crisis recoveries are frustrating. They tease and tantalize on the upside but rarely deliver. GDP growth never hits “escape velocity” and unemployment remains stubbornly high. With the government printing a 6.3% that’s hard to still say “stubbornly high”. Digging into the details […]
Read More
Date: May 3, 2014
No Foot in Mouth for Yellen Today
The Fed concludes their two day meeting today with the market expecting no increase in interest rates and another $10 billion tapered from their QE program. That would leave the Fed to continue purchasing treasury bonds and mortgage backed securities to the tune of $45 billion per month. After Janet Yellen’s rookie gaffe six weeks ago during the press conference, the chair is lucky that there won’t be another press conference today. Rather, the Fed will release a statement with […]
Read More
Date: April 30, 2014
Major Indices Not Singing a Good Tune
2014 may be young, but so far, it’s exhibiting a very different character than 2013 with the rate of ascent completely flat lining and the high flying leaders hit very hard. In other words, the year has been digesting as I wrote about in the 2014 Fearless Forecast. Don’t get me wrong, just because I forecast this type of action doesn’t mean it has been an easy year to make money. It hasn’t. And I don’t think that changes just […]
Read More
Date: April 25, 2014
“IF” – Something Ain’t Right
IF the employment data are improving… IF retail sales remain strong… IF the Fed is tapering because the economy is doing better… IF consumer sentiment is constructive… IF shipments at Port of LA see largest increase in 7 years… IF, IF, IF… Then why is the most economically sensitive bond’s yield falling out of bed like something dark is lurking?
Read More
Date: April 21, 2014
Rally, Decline… Outcomes Abound
The stock market begins the post holiday week in neutral territory after the mid week bottom last week that I discussed on Yahoo Finance. The day before Good Friday is usually up less than 0.50% and that ended up coming true. The Monday after Good Friday, which is also the first day after April option expiration has a bit of a headwind to it so a strong advance by the bulls would be an especially positive sign. In all likelihood, […]
Read More
Date: April 21, 2014
Bulls Step Up… Kinda Sorta
What a great day I had in New York with my friends at Yahoo Finance and Fox Business. In all, there should be five segments posted over the coming week. I began the day at Yahoo with Jeff Macke doing a piece called The Rally Has Begun and Here’s How to Play it. Click on the link and let me know what you think. This was the “calmest” of the three segments! Changing gears, here are some comments from recent […]
Read More
Date: April 16, 2014
