Market Getting Tired
Here is Monday’s segment we did on CNBC which remains our position today. http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000103231&play=1 Stocks have been on a nice little run this week with a dearth of news out of Europe and generally better than expected earnings from bellwether companies. Keep in mind that the earnings “beats” are after Wall Street cut estimates over the past month and the general sentiment regarding earnings had become so negative that it should not be a surprise to see them bettered. This […]
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Date: July 20, 2012
Are Stocks Dead Money?
Here is the latest Street$marts: http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120712.pdf Besides offering an essentially sideways forecast, which has been our thesis for a month, we also throw in another unusual economic indicator along with an interesting story from someone on the younger side!
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Date: July 17, 2012
CNBC’s Closing Bell TODAY at 3pm est
I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Bill and Maria at 3:00pm est today discussing the market’s path over the rest of the summer and how “quiet” it has become as earnings season really cranks up this week. Almost every article, tv segment and conversation about earnings has been so negative that it seems like much has been priced into the stock market. Could a small upside surprise lie ahead? This lack of significant volatility is typical […]
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Date: July 16, 2012
Quietly Strong Selling Wave
Stocks have quietly seen a fairly strong selling wave over the past eight days. Coincidentally (or not), that has been ever since the European Union announced their latest rescue attempt from European Stability Mechanism. After that one huge rally day, stocks have not behaved well and after today (Thursday), they have given back the entire rally. From my seat, the stock market is at an interesting juncture here. I wouldn’t say “critical”, but the bulls need to step up here […]
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Date: July 12, 2012
Markets Pricing in Weak Earnings
Earlier this week, I did an interview with Fox Business about the possible increase in taxes when the Bush/Obama tax cuts expire in December. Later in the segment, we discussed earnings season, which began this week with Alcoa, and how just one quarter off record earnings, investors are becoming so pessimistic. While it certainly feels like a negative year in the markets, the major indices remain in the black for 2012. In fact, the year is very closely following the typical […]
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Date: July 11, 2012
Stocks Slide on Tepid Jobs Growth Number
On Friday’s CNBC segment, I spoke about the range bound market with the potential for a fall swoon before the election. But in any market, there are always opportunities and this time is no different. http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000101361&play=1 So far this week, stocks have not behaved well, but it’s far from a rout and the trading range continues. On Wednesday, we get a peak at the minutes from the Fed meeting and folks will take any scrap of comments that leads to […]
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Date: July 11, 2012
FOX Business TODAY at 1pm
I am going to be on FOX Business’ Markets Now today at 1pm est discussing the markets’ reaction to the weak employment data along with our forecast for the Dow to year-end. Stocks lost roughly 1% on Friday, but you would think the market collapsed from the media’s portrayal of the day. Listening to Mitt Romney, it sounds like we lost jobs and are heading into the abyss. President Obama on the other hand gave a campaign speech in Ohio […]
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Date: July 9, 2012
CNBC’s Closing Bell at 3:00pm TODAY
I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Bill & Maria today at 3pm discussing the less than positive jobs report as well as the harsh market reaction and the potential response from Bernanke & Co. As soon as I finish wrapping up my quarterly report to clients, I will publish the next Street$marts with some comments on the European Central Bank’s recent action and what the Supreme Court’s ruling on ObamaCare means for the economy and markets. Have […]
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Date: July 6, 2012
3 Indicators That Can Tell You the Market’s Next Move
On Monday, I was in the city spending some time with my friends at Yahoo Finance. As always, I thank them for their hospitality and Jeff Macke for the engaging conversation. http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/breakout/3-indicators-tell-market-next-move-115923205.html With the volume and velocity of information out there, trying to get a read on the stock market is like attempting to get a sip of water from a firehose. Thankfully Paul Schatz of Heritage Capital has three ways to check the health of the market and durability […]
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Date: July 5, 2012
Summer Rally, Pre-Election Sell-Off
http://www.newsmax.com/StreetTalk/Heritage-Capital-stock-rally/2012/06/27/id/443591 The stock market will experience a summer rally, followed by a sell-off in the fall right before the election, Paul Schatz, chief investment officer of Heritage Capital LLC, told Yahoo. Schatz said the first half of the year had a few unique twists, but it has been fairly typical for election-year market indices. “It’s been an interesting first half,” he said. “We were vertical for a while and then we gave almost all of it back and now we’re […]
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Date: June 29, 2012
It’s All about Greece
Here is the clip from my segment on CNBC’s Closing Bell on June 15. As is usually the case, my view is definitely the contrarian view and Bill certainly challenged me! Take a look… http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000096597&play=1
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Date: June 27, 2012
What would Thomas Jefferson Say to the Architects?
The latest Street$marts is out, “What would Thomas Jefferson Say to the Architects?” http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120625.pdf Topics in this issue include a little known, but important economic indicator, the latest pullback in stocks and where gold is headed.
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Date: June 26, 2012
Fed Day is Here
Today is Fed day with split announcements. At 12:30pm, the official announcment and statement come out and then Ben Bernanke will hold his press conference at 2:15pm. The Fed is not going to move rates. They will likely downgrade their view of the economy. So far in 2012, every single Fed statement day has been a big day for the bulls. The market is anticipating some extension of stimulus or outright quantitative easing (creating money to buy securities, likely in […]
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Date: June 20, 2012
CNBC’s Closing Bell at 3:10pm June 15
I am going to be on CNBC’s Closing Bell with Maria and Bill at 3:10pm today discussing Sunday’s election in Greece and the potential for a major market reaction next week. Here are some quick, off the cuff thoughts: 1 – Markets seem very comfortable rallying into the event, which makes me a bit uncomfortable. I would much prefer to see weakness and worry ahead of a geopolitical event to wash out the weak handed holders and then reverse after […]
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Date: June 15, 2012
Who Do You Trust?
The latest Street$marts has just been posted! http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120605.pdf
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Date: June 13, 2012
The Week Ahead
With earnings season over and the monthly jobs report behind us, markets will likely focus on Europe and the outcome of ObamaCare before the Supreme Court which is due out this month on a Monday. Heading in to this week, the bulls have the upper hand after putting in at least a trading low last Monday. You can read the details in Street$marts, which is also posted http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120605.pdf. With the Dow at 12,550, we could see 12,750 – 13,000 this […]
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Date: June 11, 2012
Can You Trust the Experts?
One story related by Peter L. Bernstein in “Against the Gods: the remarkable story of risk” was the experience of Kenneth Joseph Arrow, an American economist and joint winner of the 1972 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics. Some officers had been assigned the task of forecasting weather a month ahead, but Arrow and his statisticians found that their long-range forecasts were no better than numbers pulled out of a hat. The forecasters agreed and asked their superiors to be relieved […]
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Date: June 6, 2012
Shareholder Suit Plagues Facebook IPO
http://nhregister.com/articles/2012/05/23/news/doc4fbdaeef4f252625135824.txt?viewmode=fullstory
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Date: June 5, 2012
Stocks Hit with the Ugly Stick
Stocks got hit with the ugly stick on Friday after continued worries in Europe led to overnight weakness and then the market got thumped by the horrid jobs report. Gold and treasury bonds were the only bright spots. Did gold just see “THE” low or “a” low? We will tackle this in an upcoming Street$marts. Stocks should be in the early stages of the bottoming process. It’s too soon to offer how long it lasts, days or weeks. But the market […]
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Date: June 4, 2012
The Facebook Fiasco… A Guide of How NOT to IPO
Here is the latest Street$marts with a detailed article on the bust that is Facebook. http://www.investfortomorrow.com/newsletter/CurrentStreet$marts20120525.pdf
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Date: May 29, 2012
