Two Small Cracks in the Pavement
The bulls just won’t give up. It’s been super impressive with some of the most powerful momentum I have ever seen. But, it’s not unprecedented. When I look more closely I can find a few small cracks in the pavement which I will review today. As you know, I start my analysis with the major stock market indices. They are mostly in gear to the upside. However, the Russell 2000 which is for small companies is lagging behind. Below on […]
Read More
Date: April 16, 2021
Big Market Day – Hard to Find New Buys
It’s such a big day today. First, we have one of the highest profile IPOs of all-time coming out today on the NASDAQ in Coinbase, the cryptocurrency supermarket. All I hear are people just gushing about the company and saying that no one should worry about its Dotcom’esque valuation. One analyst is calling for $600 while a pundit was in the four figures. Good thing we don’t have epic greed and euphoria! Q1 earnings season also kicks off today with […]
Read More
Date: April 14, 2021
Bulls Large and In Charge as Inflation Runs HOT
Friday was yet another win for the bulls although the market’s internals were nothing to celebrate. They weren’t negative, but they were less than inspiring. This has been an on again, off again thing, but I won’t start to worry unless it becomes consistent. When I look at the indices the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 are behaving the best, followed by the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 400. The Russell 2000 (small caps) is lagging and looking like it wants […]
Read More
Date: April 12, 2021
Tech Back In Vogue as Earnings Season Set to Begin
Stocks and the financial markets continue to behave well. While we remain in the world of epic greed and euphoria it is still balanced off by a solid market foundation and upward momentum. Eventually one will fade which will lead to an outsized move in one direction. My strong sense is that it will be the latter and a 10%+ correction will ensue down the road. Although April is only a week old we have seen a reversion back to […]
Read More
Date: April 7, 2021
Amazing April Begins
After a long holiday weekend, the first week of April begins with the bulls looking to build on the across the board strength from last Thursday. Small concern was definitely starting to creep in last week as participation in the rally was waning. Thursday was only one single day, but participation was a whole lot better. We will see what happens today as the bulls look for another big open to fresh, all-time highs. I do love writing, fresh, all-time […]
Read More
Date: April 5, 2021
Your FRA and What It Means to Your Finances
When it comes to retirement, knowing your Full Retirement Age, or FRA, is just as vital as knowing your Social Security number and your birthdate – that “magic number” determines when you can start taking your full Social Security benefits, how much you’ll receive, and ultimately, how much money you’ll have in retirement. While Social Security likely won’t supply the bulk of your retirement income, especially for those planning a high net worth retirement, your benefits will play a crucial […]
Read More
Date: April 5, 2021
Schatz Chosen to Serve on Federal Reserve Bank of Connecticut’s Board
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: April 1, 2021 In a surprise move to many, Paul Schatz, Founder and President of Heritage Capital LLC in Woodbridge, CT has been chosen to serve as a Director-At-Large for the Federal Reserve Bank of Connecticut located in New Haven, CT. It was only three short months ago when Schatz was offered a position on President Trump’s Council on Capital Markets, a role Schatz politely declined. “Look, I was so beyond flattered that President Trump and his […]
Read More
Date: April 1, 2021
Epic Greed & Euphoria Lead to a Hedge Fund Blow Up
The new week begins with the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 at all-time highs. The S&P 400 and Russell 2000 should follow suit over the next few weeks. I am going to reserve judgement on the NASDAQ 100 for the time being as it remains at a critical short-term juncture. As I mentioned in yesterday’s email, we saw some “curious” behavior during the final hour of trading on Friday as the stock market went from sleepy to surging. It certainly […]
Read More
Date: March 29, 2021
Nice Reversal But…
We saw a semi-impressive turnaround on Thursday led by the small and mid caps stocks. Interestingly, bond yields did not fall hard which is why leadership continued to come from the cyclical areas like financials, energy, materials and industrials, those same sectors I have been touting all year. I do like potential lows to be hammered in on Thursday instead of Friday, but the bulls should get a move on sooner than later. Negative seasonal trends begin to mitigate, but […]
Read More
Date: March 26, 2021
Watching Technology Closely
Some days, I even surprise myself. This morning, I wrote most of my blog post, thought I uploaded it and then went about my day. As I was going through my post-market day wrap up, I noticed it sitting in the draft folder. Nice work Paul! Anyway, following up on my comments from Monday, this week was setting up to be down and the bears are trying hard to grab the upper hand. Without having the major stock market indices […]
Read More
Date: March 24, 2021
They Don’t Make It Easy
Friday was another in what has become a long line of dichotomous days where the 5 major stock market indices were not all in sync. To add confusion on to that was how each of the indices were behaving over the previous two days. While Fridays are always tough days to glean much, especially into the close ahead of a weekend, it looked like Monday could set up for further downside although the Russell 2000 small caps looked the best […]
Read More
Date: March 22, 2021
Heritage Capital Warns: 5 Common Mistakes Made with Social Security
Social Security is a cornerstone element in many retirement plans. It’s also a complex beast, and inattention to details can lead to costly mistakes. Planning how and when to claim your Social Security benefits should start well before age 62, the first year you can receive payments. By starting early and understanding all of your options, you’ll be better positioned to extract the maximum value from your Social Security benefits. While Social Security won’t be your only source of income […]
Read More
Date: March 22, 2021
Crowded Trade Could See Quick & Sharp Reversal
Stocks continue to pull back from their recent all-time highs earlier this week. That is, except for the NASDAQ 100 which has been mired in a correction since mid-February as soaring bond yields have come at the expense of tech. I will say this; unless the NASDAQ 100 quickly closes above this week’s high point, it should be headed for new 2021 lows. The other major indices are behaving well and should see fresh all-time highs next month. It seems […]
Read More
Date: March 19, 2021
The Single Most Important Fed Day Ever – Phooey
The stock market model for today is plus or minus 0.50% until 2pm and then a bigger move. However, with the S&P 500 at new highs this week, the usual ammunition for a big rally is gone. With pre-market indicating a lower open, the model is to buy anything lower than -0.50% and reduce or eliminate at 2pm. Here we go again. All the hyperbole about the single most important Fed meeting ever has started yet again. The deal is […]
Read More
Date: March 17, 2021
Dow Crashes 3000 Points – 3rd Worst Percent Day on Record
First, I want to quickly thank so many of you who emailed suggestions and actionable info to help me secure a vaccine. A week ago, after having to put down one of our family pets, my phone rang at 3:55pm with an offer to vaccinate me if I could be at CVS in New Haven in 20 minutes. Suffice it to say, a law or two may have been breached. As I walked in, I received another call with a […]
Read More
Date: March 16, 2021
The Unloved Become Winners
Last year, the theme was mega cap technology at the expense of everything else. Since my “pound the table buy bottom” October 30th, we have had a complete reversal of fortunes. Small caps have led the indices. Cyclicals like banks, energy, industrials, transports and materials finally sprung to life. Bonds became as hated as they were loved. It’s really quite fascinating how the markets value things differently in different climates. Investors who get married to a particular theme or stock […]
Read More
Date: March 15, 2021
Yields Popping Again – More Classic Dichotomy
Stocks look to open lower to end the week as the 10-Year Note yield is surging again. That will put pressure on growth and technology to the benefit of my favorite cyclical groups like banks, energy, industrials and materials. Since the NASDAQ 100 peaked on February 16, there has only been one single back to back days of gains. More than anything else, that tells you how every rally is being aggressively sold. However, look at small and mid cap […]
Read More
Date: March 12, 2021
Fox Business TODAY, The 10-Year Boogeyman & Dow 33,000
I am excited to join my friend, Charles Payne, on Fox Business’ Making Money today at 2:45pm today (Thursday) discussing SPACs and the epic greed and euphoria in the financial markets. The other day, I joined my friend, Tim Lammers, on Fox61’s Morning News to discuss my recently published e-book. Tim is the consummate pro and I really enjoyed sharing tips and strategies that anyone can follow as they plan for retirement. In fact, I am going to do a […]
Read More
Date: March 11, 2021
Markets Full of Emotion and Tepper Speaks Out
So much going on today after such an emotional reversal on Friday. Let’s start with last week. After a rout on Thursday and an ugly morning on Friday, the bulls came roaring back across the board to close stocks near their highs for the day. Interesting to note that the major indices rallied 3-5% from their intra-day lows to the close. That is certainly emotional. One day reversal patterns look awesome on a chart, but they do not have the […]
Read More
Date: March 8, 2021
Navigating Taxes IN Retirement
The road to lower tax paid runs through your entire lifetime, both pre- and post-retirement. The decisions you make before retirement critically impact your tax situation after retirement. But don’t dismiss the additional steps you can take within retirement to keep your taxes as low as possible. (This is especially important for a high net worth retirement, because the more money you have, the higher the taxes you’ll face.) How is Social Security Taxed? Social Security benefits are subject […]
Read More
Date: March 8, 2021
